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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Latest Comments91 Comments
Living on Debt Gives Way to Fiscal Prudence
What if we quit paying what they're demanding?
Higher education continues to charge ever more, and deliver even less with each passing year.
The universities in this country must have learned "customer service" from the airline industry.
There's not another group on the planet that is so clueless on who the customer is.
The contraction in the credit market will prove to be a good thing if it pushes higher ed prices down.
The Cost of Providing a Housing Price Floor
[It is important to note that with an effective guarantee that home prices will stabilize, their collateral value comes back, and credit will start easing significantly.]
I think the Treasury secretary realized the folly of paying more for distressed assets than the market was willing to bear.
You seem to think that real estate acquisition occurs in a vacuum. Not only do you have the price of the house, you have insurance, ongoing tax payments, rehabilitation, losses due to vandalism and accidents.
Everybody seems to have a "grand scheme" that would "cost less than the original bailout."
This problem will not have one big solution, just many small ones.
Bernanke, Paulson and Bair Testify - But Can We Get a Witness?
It's one thing to have "some sense of the pain and heartache" of the American homeowner.
It's quite another to provide an adequate SOLUTION:
www.housingwire.com/20.../
Once again, never mind the facts.
The Economics and Ethics of Mortgage Default
They're NOT... NOT reducing principal. They're offering- in a MINORITY of cases- a principal forbearance.
Two different scenarios.
General Motors Bailout: Consider Other Alternatives
You could have begun the article with this quote. Why is everyone in such a hurry to "fix" these issues, which have been brewing for decades?
[Sen. Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, one of the bill's sponsors.]
She appears to be a good-hearted, well-meaning person, but she is completely clueless on issues regarding the economy.
It's been said that average housing prices are too high relative to average incomes.
The same can be said for automobiles.
The strain that an average car payment places on lower-to-middle income households is steep. While the cost of fuel has backed off significantly (temporarily?), the percentage of net income absorbed by auto-related costs is extraordinary... and unsustainable.
We simply cannot afford cars as they are priced now.
Now, to the hybrid issue...
60% of our electricity is produced by coal-burning plants. "Plugging in" every night will increase that amount substantially. Is this acceptable?
Furthermore, we already see brownouts in major cities when temperatures rise. Will the electrical infrastructure support a massive shift to electric cars?
On (pseudo-) environmentalism: Did you happen to see the 60 Minutes feature on computer disposal? Will China also import our cast-off car batteries in the future?
Whether it's housing, the Big Three or alternative energy, we all seem in a hurry to "fix' things, but we don't seem to be in the mood to think these things through before we act. Not one of these problems will be solved both quickly and effectively. We need to choose which adverb we want to stamp on our "solutions."
Why Obama Should Not Choose Summers as Treasury Secretary
I see this as a good thing. Ignorant members of Congress need to be revealed for who they are.
It's been hard to decide if our leaders are that dim-witted, or if they're simply pathological liars who will say anything to pacify the masses while protecting the special interest groups.
Was Volcker charismatic?
Frankly, we need Dr. House, not Doogie Howser.
The 28-33% Mortgage Payment Rule: Confronting Reality
31% of GROSS income on a house payment?
Do the math on that. Take taxes/ss out and see what the REAL DTI is.
The "Help for Homeowners" plan pegs the front-end ratio at 34%
That's CRAZY.
What's even more absurd is the percentage of income people spend just to own a car. Trucks, even worse.
The average American's budget is a mess, and until that clears up, no amount of "streamlined"... modifications is going to help.
Stop the Bail-Outs, I Want to Get Off
They voted against it because so many voters, like me, bombarded our representatives with calls, letters and e-mails urging them to vote against it.
Contrary to your comment, this wasn't about being "Only too happy to play game of chicken with the global economy."
While i can only speak for myself as to why, I expected that the feds would piss away this money on things that wouldn't "help."
They always... ALWAYS do.
It was clear in the original proposal that their intention was to limit/completely eliminate any oversight. And with the quality and caliber of the people we have in Washington, oversight means very little, anyway.
The second time around, the ill-informed, ignorant reps voted for the bill.
They sold this plan much like they sold the war in Iraq, only faster.
And now, we see the how well that's gone.
Yes, the people in our state are hoping for a bailout. What they don't seem to realize is that bailout or no, we're STILL going to lose a LOT more jobs in the auto industry and by extension, so will many others who think they are safe.
I wonder if the buggy whip industry responded similarly.
Here again, bailout or no, those jobs are going away.
You look at Delphi- they slashed their workforce, re-wrote their contracts, and replaced many of the previous workers with people who were willing to do the work for $14/hr. And there were THRONGS of people lined up for those jobs.
I believe that the Big 3 should follow suit.
To do otherwise is simply to waste more money, and prolong agony on the route to the same end result.
I vote no bailout again.
And I'm sure my rep will vote the other way.
Again.
Meltdown: State and Local Governments Falling Short
Not only do I prefer a MUCH smaller government, I'd like to shift towards a system where users actually PAY for services.
My state began substantially raising user fees for non-essential services. While I'm paying significantly more for some of these things now, I prefer it that way. Let people vote with their dollars. If certain programs don't get enough "votes" to support the services, let them fail.
The Humpty Dumpty Economy
What's ironic is that in many cases, homeowners would be better served by the mod they can get on a case-by-case basis than the "streamlined"... terms.
[In many cases, dual income families may decide to eliminate one job altogether as reduced mortgage payments combined with lower child care and other work related expenses will likely exceed the after-tax value of the lost paycheck.]
I see this as a good thing. Too many households have one member stuck in a dead-end job so they can pay for their "stuff." The mathemactics of that second job quite often made little sense on a net-after-all-costs basis. If we see a shift to parents spending more time with their children and less money on useless crap, this is a positive, unintended consequence.
The Underwhelming Frannie Loan-Mod Plan
The servicing business makes about as much sense in this environment as selling Hummers.
When "nobody" was defaulting, it was great. But now that the business requires real work, there's not enough revenue to adequately staff, much less properly process the files.
If investors become willing to pay more in servicing fees, then the problem will be adequately addressed.
Meanwhile, they'd seen just exactly how their money HAS been managed over the last few years, I think they might have a stroke.
Fed Balks at Releasing Toxic Waste Details
I'm not a lawyer, but the Fed is NOT a government agency. So, is it even subject to FOIA?
Navigating the Foreclosed Property Market
In talking to REO asset managers, you might find a slightly different story.
While the banks might be motivated to sell their inventory, like their bad paper, they may not be motivated to sell at a price that's worth paying.
The Housing Solution No One Wants to Hear
[Buyers can take over with no money down after going through the same rigors of underwriting as buyers do today. You now have people capable of paying.]
A big part of the rap on homeowners in default was that they "have no skin in the game."
[Sellers, or those unable to continue, will have save their credit, thereby allowing them back in the game once they regain their financial footing. ]
Are you telling me that your idea involves NO principal writedown?
Who in their right mind would assume a loan that exceeds the value of the home?
And if in fact there is a write-down, then the seller's is NOT going to save their credit, as it will be reflected on their report.
TC, I normally enjoy your comments very much, but who, exactly, will buy these homes? Supply exceeds demand, and home ownership rates are still irrationally high.
Rehab with intent to re-sell is a different game than rehabbing to rent. Converting a fix-n-flip to a rental is a PAINFUL experience, mostly in the pocketbook.
The Reagan Counterrevolution
[attitudes like yours, based on maintaining the Wall Street stranglehold on the wealth of this country was most likely the main reason Obama was elected in the first place.]
What I find interesting is that his campaign was heavily funded by Wall Street.
It's anybody's guess what he's going to do.