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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Latest Comments17 Comments
Pondering the 'Pain of Paying'
Wind has it right.
On Visa and Commodities: An Addendum
Enough is enough. Can't we get some thoughtful insight on these threads w/o all of you bashing each other. I'm tired of reading this drivel just to get to some useful data spotted throughout, to help in my investing. I don't need to read this and I don't have the time for this crap!! I come here only for what I had hoped was thoughtful insight and useful investing tips not all your bs!!
Can't we keep the posts here to just the topic at hand? You all sound just like each other and even your alias' sound just like each other. You all constantly have to try and bait each other and each and every time you all rise to the occassion, take the bait and continue. And on and on it goes. What good can come from this? Do you think that by responding to the other person's comments you're actually going to make a difference? Do you think they're actually going to change their opinion? What does it matter anyway? Just stick to the topic and ignore the comments, the rest of us already see it for what it all is, just plain GARBAGE!!!!
Having to read your constant useless crap comments shows us again how childish you all are and how little hope there is for humanity!!!
Let's get back to the subject at hand and keep it that way. PLEASE!!!!!
Card Issuers: Facts and Fictions
I'm sorry. WHAT!!! They can simply hike the interest rates that cardholders are paying to offset the rise in charge-off expenses. "It's called risk-based pricing." WHAT???? You're saying that in order to offset charge-off expenses DSC/AMEX would raise the interest rates on my/their credit card(s)? If that's true, who would keep using they're DSC/AMEX card? I don't know about you, but if I ever had to carry a balance I would want it to be on a card that charged me a lower rate than a card with a higher rate. I think if this were to happen you would definitely see many of their loyal customers defect overnight.
Why Visa Should Thrive
The author of this article says, "In March of 2009, Visa Europe has the option to sell itself back (at a pre-determined price)."
And later in the commentary V Winner says, "Also- In October V has a major C Class Euro buyback (with cash in hand already) which will greatly reduce float by over 100mm outstanding- increasing P/E - and valuation."
V Winner, if I remember correctly you've mentioned many times in the past that Visa would be buying Visa Europe back in October of this year.
I'm confused. Is it October 2008 or March 2009 that the buyback of Visa Europe is happening?
Thanks for clarifying.
Why Visa Should Thrive
Pair Trade Visa and Capital One
Fertilizer Bulls Are Ignoring Planting Cycles
The author could have been more clearer Cicero! He didn't get into the specifics of the growing world demand that even in the short term will affect fertilizer prices. The US market is just one part of it. He only chose to talk about the US market in the short term and didn't talk about the World market in the short term! I think that would have been more clear if all the data was included.
My Investment Philosophy and Visa
Are you sure you're not a politician? They too say one thing and then do another as you have done with your advice to investors versus your own personal investing actions. If you're not, maybe you should consider a career in politics.
I definitely would not consider you to be an "amateur" as you say. With all of your years of investing, years of blogging and giving advice to the masses, you are no amateur and should know better than to give out advice without backing up that advice.
I on the other hand am a true amateur since I have just begun to invest in stocks with the debut of Visa. Even I, in my amateur-ish experience could see that Visa is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. During the past few months V has had many a down day and never once have I thought about selling it. Why? Because like Adesai stated the fundamentals behind this stock are very strong. If I would have used an 8% loss all by itself w/o understanding more about the stock I'm investing in, then I would be kicking myself right now. Instead because I have learned about the fundamentals of investing in this stock and can see its potential I have made about 30% on my investment!!!!
Fertilizer Bulls Are Ignoring Planting Cycles
So if you're going to talk about growing cycles, next time, include more than just the local market.
Visa: Trading Transparency
If this site had ethical oversight, the site itself wouldn't exist since even the writers of these articles don't have ethics and yet they still publish much of this drivel and who is to say that that doesn't move markets or con gullible stock traders?
From what I can tell and have read, Cat just has taken more of her time to post than many of the rest of us here. But we all believe in V. What's not to get excited about? V is a winner and most informed people, once they get it, can see it for themselves as well.
Visa Estimates Upped Through 2010
People aren't only using their cards instead of using cash now, but they're also making more transactions with those cards.
For example, I used to just pay my cable bill once a month with my V card. But now to save money, we have cancelled our premium cable packages, while still keeping basic cable, and are now making more purchases each month on Netflix, Blockbuster Online and the local RedBox. We're saving money, but making more credit card transactions. This is happening more and more as people are trying to save money. Make sense?
Add to that all the perks you get with having a credit card, especially if you pay it off every month. People are using their cards more and more, not less and less.
Visa Estimates Upped Through 2010
Hope that helps answer your question.
The Great MasterCard - Visa Debates
Visa: Near-Term Fluctuations Present a Buying Opportunity
The Case For $80 A Barrel Oil
Daniel Fisher, 05.09.08, 2:37 PM ET
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Daniel Fisher
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Oil prices may hang above $100 a barrel for the rest of this year but will fall as low as $80 next year as world demand slackens and Saudi Arabia tries to buy influence with the incoming president by pumping more crude oil, an influential Lehman Brothers analyst said in a report issued today.
Saudi engineers have been working on several big projects that could boost the nation's output by 1.3 million barrels a day--more than the expected increase in global demand next year--but the secretive nation is "likely to keep its political tool, excess production capacity, close to its chest until it has a new U.S. president to win over," Edward Morse writes.
Saudi production is currently a little less than 10 million barrels a day.
The Lehman report contrasts sharply with a Goldman Sachs (nyse: GS - news - people ) prediction earlier this week that crude prices could soar as high as $200 a barrel as non-OPEC producers struggle to maintain output, let alone increase it.
Crude oil hit a record $126 on the NYMEX Friday, almost double the price of a year ago.
Only time will tell who's right, but the analysts at Lehman make a strong case for falling prices as the markets absorb bearish signs such as the Chinese stockpiling oil in advance of the Olympics, and the estimated 28 million barrels Iran is storing in tankers because it can't find a market for the heavy, difficult-to-refine crude.
"If those 28 million barrels were in U.S. crude stocks, the market here would be a lot looser," said James Crandell, an energy markets analyst at Lehman.
A key assumption, however, is that the Saudis will increase production after the election to curry favor with the new president and try to influence policy in the Middle East. While Saudi Arabia guards its oil production and reserves as state secrets, the nation has recently announced three long-awaited oilfields have begun production. Lehman estimates those will add 1.3 million barrels a day of capacity, compared with expected global demand growth of 900,000 barrels a day.
If the Saudis open the spigots, in other words, crude prices would drop, just in time for the desert nation to gain influence over whoever takes residence in the White House.
Far-fetched?
"There's a history of output increases, not exactly coinciding with the election but a few months afterwards," says Crandell.
The Lehman analysts acknowledge they were early in predicting a downturn, having previously set a target of $90 by the second quarter of this year. A busy hurricane season also could keep oil prices high by shutting down production in the increasingly important Gulf of Mexico, the analysts said.
But oil prices are also being lifted by "misperceptions,&... they say, including the idea that the weak U.S. dollar has been driving up the price of crude. Historically there has been little correlation between the dollar and oil prices, and while the relationship strengthened last year following the credit crisis, it has since weakened again. The euro has fallen 3.5% against the dollar in recent weeks, for example, yet crude prices have risen a similar amount. Traders "are believing the correlation is going to last forever" when in fact it may already be over, Crandell said.
Visa: Near-Term Fluctuations Present a Buying Opportunity