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    • Wed Nov 26th 11:32 AM
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      Commented on:
      The Market Is Telling Us Something
      Do you have proof on your failure to deliver comments?
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    • Tue Nov 25th 14:34 PM
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      Shrinking Outstanding CDS
      The notional value of CDS is the entire monetary amount of all contracts for a specific entity. If counterparty A engages with counterparty B who engages with counterparty C, the notional value of the swap contracts will be larger than the amount of real money that actually gets exchanged in the case of a default. The downside to that is that if one of the counterparties also defaults, one of the entities that thought they were covered with protection actually is not, and then they must come up with the payment. That is the systemic risk in the system; luckily the settlements have gone smoothly and losses have been significantly less than what many expected. By compressing contracts, the notional value decreases and the amount of untangling in settlement events will be much less difficult.
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    • Fri Nov 7th 09:46 AM
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      Effects of the Long Dated Treasury Bubble
      I share the same question as Rhunzzz. It's not that we can't pay the debt down, it's that we won't take the necessary measures to do it in enough time before it get's truly out of control. That time is approaching quickly though.
      View article »
    • Thu Nov 6th 14:34 PM
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      Rating: +1 0
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      Market Currents poll: Do buyers mount a late-afternoon rally, or are we headed for new intraday lows? Weigh-in in the comments.
      Lows; the trend is heading back toward resistance.
      View news story »
    • Wed Nov 5th 14:14 PM
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      Landsbanki Debt Settles at 1 Cent on the Dollar
      What was the actual dollar figure in losses for WaMu and Lehman CDS?
      View article »
    • Wed Nov 5th 13:57 PM
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      The CDS World Depends on Italy and Spain - Who Knew?
      Look at how few contracts those are though. Could it be possible they took the insurance out on themselves?
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 27th 09:25 AM
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      What the TICK Is Telling Us Today
      Thanks!
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 24th 10:04 AM
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      Commented on:
      Is This the Last Great Bubble?
      If you feel so strongly about it, why don't you own it?
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 20th 08:31 AM
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      Is Short Covering Really Propping Up the Markets?
      Thanks for doing the leg work with this. I understand where mekats is coming from, but ultimately, we do not know becuase there is no transparency with the hedge funds. Duh, right.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 16th 13:50 PM
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      Commented on:
      With Great Values Now In the Markets, the Glass Is Half Full
      That's the point.
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    • Fri Oct 10th 09:19 AM
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      Commented on:
      Friday's Bond Outlook: Bursting of the Treasury Security Bubble? (Update)
      Direxions and ProFunds both have Treasury short funds. Direxions is 2.5 times.

      SWRichmond - As John mentions, the Treasury auctioned off $40 billion in securities earlier this week that still may be running through the system. Such a huge auction dilutes current supply in the market, driving price down.

      It could very well also be loss of confidence, but there really isn't anywhere else to go...
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 6th 15:02 PM
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      The Cramer Crash?
      I agree, what did he think he was going to do by saying that in such a public arena. He also published an article in NY Magazine yesterday - as noted in another Seeking post.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 2nd 15:05 PM
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      America's Reign of Terror
      Agreed, I rely on your blog to quickly obtain information on the day to day changes of the credit markets. Thanks!
      View article »
    • Mon Sep 15th 12:55 PM
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      Gold Is Set to Regain Its Shine
      dlaw, analyze what you said. People need money and the easiest way to do that is to PRINT it. When money is printed, its supply increases and the paper money is worth less. Expand your time horizon and consider the mess the United States is in financially and you should certainly come up with a different response.
      View article »
    • Thu Sep 11th 15:02 PM
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      Is the Dollar Safe?
      Great comment by Chris B. He is right on target. Last Friday's announcement that the People's Bank was undercapitalized was a precursor to Sunday's bailout. The way to get that capital back is to increase the value of the holdings, AKA bailout Fannie and Freddie so there will actually be buyers returning to the market.
      View article »