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  • Who Killed Frannie?
    "ONLY A FOOL would disagree that the last 8 years has been utterly inverse between what is said and done"

    Keep believing that this has been going on only the last 8 years. And it will all be better with a different "current occupant". Right.

    Wake up. They have been lying to you for 80 years, not 8. And the current turmoil is the work of decades. We will not get out of this without war, because we will either fight our creditors, or be reduced to seizing resources by force that we are no longer able to pay for legitimately.
    Sep 09 11:49 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Fed - A True Haven for Capitalism?
    This was inevitable. Do you think Paulson wants to be up late pulling his hair (wait...) every time Fannie and Freddie have to roll over a big chunk of short term debt? Bureaucrats hate uncertainty. And now they have "fixed" it so that the GSE cannot go into a liquidity seizure. Of course the equity gets to pound sand.

    I'm anxiously waiting for follow up postings from all of the SA "contrarians"... who were long the GSEs due to their "strong earnings potential". Oops! That's gonna leave a mark.
    Sep 09 08:30 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Will a 7% Mortgage Threat Doom Fannie and Freddie?
    "Disclosures: Author is long FNM and FRE."

    Well I guess somebody has to be long these companies.

    The GSEs are dead men walking for reasons mostly of their own making. The GSE shareholders and management have had how many years wetting their beaks whilst enjoying their "implicit guarantee"? Well, I guess they should have been smart enough to realize that if they ever needed to call in that market management and equity were going to be taking a beating.

    I agree with the previous poster. The only sane course now is to make the de facto nationalization official. In which case there is no reason to have two entities. Freddie was created in the first place to provide some semblance of competition for Fannie.

    Economists have shown that much of the subsidy that the GSEs were supposed to be providing to the mortgage market accrued to management and shareholders. The end of the GSEs would not mean the end of mortgage securitization.
    Aug 20 15:16 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Fannie & Freddie: Why Government Support is a Good Thing
    Government bailout apologists would do well to avoid talk of punch bowls.

    Your argument reduces to "we need to get the share price up to lure in the marks." Good luck with that.
    Jul 18 13:34 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • 15 Notes on the Current Market Stress
    Nice article. I think broken promises are the issue of our time. So much of the mayhem going on now can be traced back directly or indirectly to the fact that government and some businesses have been writing checks for too long that they will not be able to cash.
    Jul 16 13:38 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • "Pick-a-Pay" Defaults Deepen - Housing Tracker
    I agree with you ArnoldCountry that the lenders were crazy to offer those types of mortgages to "normal" buyers. Those mortgages were designed for people with uneven monthly cashflow; people who get paid primarily in large bonuses a few times a year.

    But this is what you get when the originator doesn't have to hold the paper. He can tell himself that the customer will refinance in a couple years or sell the place for a profit so that he can sleep at night. Then he pockets his origination fee and moves on to the next guy.
    May 02 15:22 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Financial Ravings Go Mainstream
    Tim P,
    Why do you have the idea that all trends develop so rapidly that CNN is incapable of reporting them?
    One could just as easily argue that if CNN is giving air time to a "bust at FNMA" it is all but inevitable and they are just softening up the public for the eventual bailout.
    Apr 22 10:17 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Housing Market Tracker - Even Mortgage Brokers Want to Stop Foreclosures
    gordon, your faith in the electorate is commendable if misplaced. 85% of registered voters polled about the housing crisis said they preferred nacho cheese Doritos over cool ranch flavor.
    Apr 10 12:00 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Housing Market Tracker - Even Mortgage Brokers Want to Stop Foreclosures
    I guess I need to get off my a$$ and buy a foreclosed McMansion since these bailouts (along with every other form of government largesse) will leave my kids so heavily taxed that they'll never afford to live on their own. I need more space.
    Apr 10 10:49 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    brokerbila, you are calling for some private or public entity to walk into a falling market and sell puts? Sorry, but to me that sounds like one definition of insane.

    Your little proposal does sound like a good deal for buyers, but let's look at the guy on the other side of the trade. I see a lot of risk. Perhaps your "insurance premium" won't be as cheap as you think.
    Mar 20 08:48 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    Well then I simply disagree. I think the historical record is replete with examples of well-intentioned government cures that made the disease worse rather than better.

    American society has been living beyond its means for a long time. And now we're going to learn the hard way the consequences of that. To those who propose magic wand solutions, I would only offer the words of one of my mentors about "the hard way". He always said people should just call it "the way" because there was no other path to real learning.
    Mar 18 09:17 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    Vikram, you need to examine your premises. You start with the premise that it is desirable to "support" (I read "price floor") the price of housing.

    In my book you are off the track right there. Why are expensive homes a public good? Because financial engineers on Wall Street built an edifice of levered debt on top of them?

    Humpty dumpty can not be put back together again. Anybody with a pulse can see that home values can decline and furthermore that they got way out of line with current incomes. The fact that many "smart" people bet a lot of money to the contrary is not reason for a government bailout.
    Mar 18 07:57 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    You think the free market will take to long? Your "RMC" will be beset by the standard cast of rent-seekers and professional victims looking for their cut of the action in the form of set-asides for the "disadvantaged&qu... and making sure that a certain portion of the business is routed through "approved clearinghouses" (owned by people beholden to the right politicians). You say "orderly mop up" as if the meaning of that is self-evident. There will be winners and losers in the mess, guaranteed. I say let the market decide which column we all fall into, not some committee on Capitol Hill. I think you're buying into the myth of the quick fix. That sort of thinking is exactly why we find ourselves at this particular juncture.
    Mar 17 10:20 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    And enough with the "stabilize the markets" new-speak. I did not fall off the turnip truck yesterday; I know corporate socialism when I see it.
    Mar 17 09:56 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • A Government Rental Agency to Mop Up the Foreclosures
    The reason that you are not seeing vultures in the foreclosure business is that prices have not fallen enough.

    I see no reason why the taxpayer should step in to catch a falling knife that business people are smart enough to avoid. So easy to be brave and bold when it's other peoples' money on the line, eh?

    And you are the one in need of a history lesson. The parties who got a good deal from RTC were the vultures who came to pick over the bones. In no sense did the taxpayer make out on the deal.

    If we have a few more months of high foreclosures, the banks will be forced to liquidate. An unoccupied house quickly deteriorates for a number of reasons. The banks need to take their haircuts at which point the private investment money will flow into these properties to turn them into cashflow-positive rentals.
    Mar 17 09:46 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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