Pent up demand

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  • The Disastrous Future of the U.S.
    huangjin is right on the money. Let's control those numbers for the real estate bubble, which was worst in the hurricane/earthquake prone areas.

    Tom B, I hope you like crow. Your ilk are going to be eating a lot of it as global temperatures continue to moderate.
    Jul 09 10:14 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Real Prices for New Cars Keep Going Down
    I agree with chuckp. The costs of car ownership have been somewhat backloaded. Cars are engineered in ways that make them as cheap as possible to assemble; it seems little regard is given to the cost to repair them.
    Jun 17 10:22 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Why Subprime Loss Estimates Are Still Too High
    Talk your book, baby! That's the way we play it on the Street!
    Jun 12 13:14 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Hanging Up the Walkway Myth
    I don't think you can underestimate the "no money down" effect. It's one thing to be underwater when you brought 10-20% to the deal; no owner is going to realize that loss if he can help it. But the 0% down crowd is out a credit score and their closing costs, which are sunk costs anyway. I believe they will be much less reluctant to throw in the towel if their cash position gets uncomfortable.
    Jun 05 11:35 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Getting Frantic? A New 3 Act Play for Current Economic Times
    Congratulations, pk de cville. You win this week's award for the best mixed metaphor!

    Jun 04 12:58 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Realtors, Prepare to Lose Your 6 Percent
    I have never said that MLS should be open to any member of the public. The behavior that is anti-competitive are the minimum service laws, and the collusion to freeze out discount brokers. I agree completely that the trend of buyers' agents is a big part of the problem. If buyers want to have a tour guide then they should pay for that out of their own pocket.

    Missouri broker, I did do the homework, which is how I finally got my house sold. And yet there was my useless agent at the closing table with his hand out.
    Jun 03 10:25 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Realtors, Prepare to Lose Your 6 Percent
    I love that a realtor called me stupid for using a realtor's services. Thanks, I will definitely remember that!

    Hey realtors, if you're so ready to admit that there are incompetents in your midst, why isn't your beloved NAR doing anything to shore up "the brand". How am I supposed to know a good realtor from a bad one? I don't buy and sell real estate very frequently. I found one agent that I know not to do business with again. I guess that leaves another couple hundred thousand that I need to keep looking out for.
    Jun 02 09:04 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Different Views on Housing Supply
    "Population continues to grow"

    Uh huh. So I heard it here first: "they aren't making any more land". Wow that is an ironclad argument.

    User 202386, your "way overcorrected" areas are still above traditional measures of affordability. My whole life I have heard that home prices cannot go down everywhere at the same time. People now see for themselves that it can and did happen. They are not going to stretch themselves to the limit to buy thinking that if they delay they'll be priced out forever. Too bad for the bagholders who are left looking for another fool greater than themselves to sell to.
    May 30 13:42 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Realtors, Prepare to Lose Your 6 Percent
    "A good agent provides value, whether it’s worth a percentage is arguable and nothing is stopping competition"

    BS. How about "minimum service" laws? or cartel behavior like freezing discount brokers out of the MLS?

    Most agents are a joke. When I sold my last house I had to figure out the market myself. My house sat for 6 months longer than necessary because I had it listed too high. Maybe my dipwad agent thought he was protecting my feelings by not telling me to lower my price. I would much rather have had hurt feelings and 6 months of mortgage payments/taxes.

    And for the money they charge they don't even show the house! It's some clueless buyer's agent who doesn't know the property and can't sell its advantages. A total ripoff.
    May 30 10:54 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Different Views on Housing Supply
    "Pent up demand" is going to make a great name for my garage band.
    May 30 10:42 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Only These Three Things Can Halt Oil's Advance
    Right, steveross. Except you forgot the part where some of the rebate money gets siphoned off to go to the usual causes.

    Speculators would laugh at your castles in the sky and go right on betting on the futures.


    Oil at these prices causes pain, no doubt. But it's the Saudis that should be worried, because these prices are making alternatives of any sort much more attractive.
    May 22 09:39 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Foreclosures Prove Loan Modification Isn't Working
    Funny you bring up chicken, VoR. Because that is exactly the game the banks are playing. Can they pick up enough coins off the railroad track (raise capital) before the 5:09 comes through (and they have to write down their books).
    May 16 10:04 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Learning From Bill Miller's Recent Underperformance
    The best part about "hot managers" like Miller, or John Henry, et. al. is that they almost always destroy more wealth investors than they ever created. Their poor performance always seems to come when the asset base is at its maximum.
    May 16 09:59 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • "Pick-a-Pay" Defaults Deepen - Housing Tracker
    I agree with you ArnoldCountry that the lenders were crazy to offer those types of mortgages to "normal" buyers. Those mortgages were designed for people with uneven monthly cashflow; people who get paid primarily in large bonuses a few times a year.

    But this is what you get when the originator doesn't have to hold the paper. He can tell himself that the customer will refinance in a couple years or sell the place for a profit so that he can sleep at night. Then he pockets his origination fee and moves on to the next guy.
    May 02 15:22 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Impending Mortgage Crisis: Part Two
    So just tell me your "normalization&qu... procedure then. It will be impossible to show you the error if you won't give the procedure that produces your data.
    May 02 11:38 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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