deuxsous

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  • Calling It Quits on Gold, Platinum - It's Time to Go Financials!
    i've been trading them for 30 years. commodities are different. they don't just go up and up in low volalitilty walkups forever, as stocks often do. they tend to spike up in a matter of months and then consolidate somewhere just under the highs for long enough to establish that higher prices were justified after. but that's too long for today's short term bandits, so they are gone and into the latest spike somewhere else. then when everyone is bored with commodities in 3-15 months, they spike again. the average consolidation period after a spike in this commodity bull market since 2002 has been 4-5 months and we're not quite two months into this one. by the way, look at one or more of the CRB indexes which have most of the US and some London commodities in them. i prefer the CCI version (similar to the old CRB) which GCC tracks. DJP tracks another CRB version. gold alone doesn't cut it.

    the commodity bull market has at least another decade to run, and if you're not overleveraged you can just hold and kick back and do nothing. but of course EVERYONE IS overleveraged these days. so we have to have these long consolidations so we can pick them apart......yawwwwwnnnn...
    May 04 18:03 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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