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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Latest Comments12 Comments
JPMorgan: Expect Fed to Cut to 0% in January
If the government wished to end this entire mess as quickly and painlessly as possible it would have done nothing. Let the freaking markets ADJUST!
Let prices come down and stabilize the housing market. Let industries and companies fail. But alas as per usual their policy since the great depression which was caused by their wrongful thinking has led to another much worse depression. The dollar will crash this time.
How can the government interfere with and delay market adjustment? Lets see...
*
(1) Prevent or delay liquidation. Lend money to shaky businesses,
call on banks to lend further, etc.
(2) Inflate further. Further inflation blocks the necessary fall in
prices, thus delaying adjustment and prolonging depression. Fur-
ther credit expansion creates more malinvestments, which, in their
turn, will have to be liquidated in some later depression. A gov-
ernment “easy money” policy prevents the market’s return to the
necessary higher interest rates.
(3) Keep wage rates up. Artificial maintenance of wage rates in a
depression insures permanent mass unemployment. Furthermore,
in a deflation, when prices are falling, keeping the same rate of money wages means that real wage rates have been pushed higher.
In the face of falling business demand, this greatly aggravates the
unemployment problem.
(4) Keep prices up. Keeping prices above their free-market levels
will create unsalable surpluses, and prevent a return to prosperity.
(5) Stimulate consumption and discourage saving. We have seen
that more saving and less consumption would speed recovery;
more consumption and less saving aggravate the shortage of saved-
capital even further. Government can encourage consumption by
“food stamp plans” and relief payments. It can discourage savings
and investment by higher taxes, particularly on the wealthy and
on corporations and estates. As a matter of fact, any increase of
taxes and government spending will discourage saving and invest-
ment and stimulate consumption, since government spending is
all consumption. Some of the private funds would have been saved
and invested; all of the government funds are consumed.15 Any
increase in the relative size of government in the economy, there-
fore, shifts the societal consumption–investment ratio in favor of
consumption, and prolongs the depression.
(6) Subsidize unemployment. Any subsidization of unemployment
(via unemployment “insurance,” relief, etc.) will prolong unem-
ployment indefinitely, and delay the shift of workers to the fields
where jobs are available.
The Federal Government is well on their way down the expressway of destroying this country, following their great depression inducing policies.
The best action the government can take is to do nothing! It's the quickest and least painful road to recovery. But what they have done and are doing is going to be SO much more destructive and cause these problems to last soooo much longer.
*Credit to Murray N. Rothbard
Eight Thoughts on the Current Crisis
The reason the US took itself off the gold standard is fairly simple. And that reason is because gold limited the funds the Federal government had available to wage its wars, builds its VAST global empire, put military bases in well over half the countries on earth, topple governments, and secure its new empire. Gold is finite, and the US Federal government only had (n) amount of that finite gold. If you only have (n) amount of gold and you need (n+1) you must get more gold.
This of course is a major road block to building your global empire. It's much easier to pile up HUGE deficits and spend all the money you need, to do whatever you want when you have a printing press (the FED) and can just print money out of thin air. This is one of the theories of Austrian economics on having a currency backed by say gold. It limits the ability of insane run away spending like we see with the US Federal government now. I find it laughable these clowns in washington even waste the time to print up budgets. What's the point? They just print money out of thin air. Useless money that is literally only worth the fabric paper its printed on. The dollar is essentially valueless.
Eight Thoughts on the Current Crisis
Abolish the FED and make the dollar a value based currency again instead of the debt based currency it is now. I don't care if you back it in gold, silver, uranium, it doesn't matter. Fiat currencies FAIL. The FED creates all of these bubbles and disasters by trying to "predict" the market with inflation hikes and cuts. Interfering with the free market and creating all these damn problems. They create hyper inflation by devaluing the dollar by printing money out of thin air. Good lord is anyone getting the memo the FED is the core of the problem?? And btw we do have an alternative world currency to the dollar, its called gold.
When It Rains, It Pours
A) The dismantling of the FED and the arrest and charge of those employed by it.
B) The return of the dollar to a value based currency based on gold or silver, or platinum for all I care.
C) The allowance of all these companies to FAIL and allowing the free market to WORK, which it is trying to if everyone will STOP interfering with it, and reduce housing prices from their super incredibly over inflated prices.
Without the above, the plan is no plan at all and will only delay the oncoming destruction of the dollar and the economy as we know it.
5 Failures of SEC Chairman Cox
You just don't get it do you? This is why America is doomed. The people do not understand the problem. As in every other post I have made recently I will break it down for everyone again.
1) The FED!!!! This unconstitutional, corporation with no oversight or auditing which has looted the public treasury long ago, has been printing money out of *thin air* since its creation. In order to break the US economy and control the country. Central banks are the enemy of free republics. Once they control your currency you are doomed. This is not insane ranting it's simple history. You don't need armies to control a nation if you control the currency. The FED is illegal and MUST be abolished. Fractional reserve banking does NOT work and was never created to work. It is used to artificially manipulate the market and control the currency.
2) Fiat currencies == FAIL. Debt based fiat currencies like the US Dollar are utterly, completely, and totally worthless. No debate. Period.
The FED has been printing USD non stop since they were created. Reducing the value of the dollar to less than 0. The dollar is not even worth the paper it's printed on anymore. It's a negative sum game. I beg the people to realize this so that we can move on already! And create a solid value based currency again bringing the dollar back to its rightful place as a meaningful currency with *value*. Then BAN the FED and all Central Banks *forever*. Bringing prosperity back to the United States.
Once these two items are accomplished and the US is back on solid footing then we can move on to getting rid of the illegal institutions that have helped worsen the problem. The FDIC, the SEC, etc have all played a roll in manipulating and and corrupting the free market. But this is only debatable when people come to realize 1 & 2 have been the destruction of the United States. And looking at the comments above it appears the people still don't understand, and will continue to allow the country to be brought to it's knees and beheaded by the FED and a fiat currency. Which is truly sad.
If You Think the Dow Did Well Today, You're Wrong
Monday opens with a massive drop in the market. Thought the several hundred point gain was good? The inverse x 2 or 3 is what I expect monday. Based on? Based on the fact that the market is run by completely insane people at hedge funds and other places who don't do anything remotely sane or logical. And will see the point gain from Friday as "Thats as good as its getting take that gain and sell everything!" Which we will see monday.
Also because no matter what *anyone* says or does come monday. no matter if if the market tanks or rallies again, these simple FACTS remain:
The US dollar is completely, totally, utterly worthless. It is a debt based fiat currency with absolutely NO value or worth. Period. Non debatable.
The Treasury of the US, IMO was ransacked long ago by the FED. Think we still have any gold at fort knox? :)
There is a reason the FED will not allow auditing of its books by Congress or anyone else. Three guesses as to why.
The FED since it's inception has been printing money out of thin air.
Completely out of air. Just flipping on the photo copier. The dollar is now not even worth the paper it's printed on because of the length, duration and amount of bills printed by the FED.
None of these facts are going to change. The dollar will crash just as soon as everyone wakes up and goes "Oh, yeah, thats true." to the facts above. There is no way out of this. There are trillions and trillions of dollars of uncountable derivatives, bad debt, etc that will now start to unwind from this credit mess. And the sooner it does and the dollar crashes the sooner we can move the hell on and finally start the discussion of a new value based currency again, shut the FED down! boot those bastards out of this country, and forbid a central bank ever being created here again.
But seriously, i'm not bitter. Really.
A Resolution Trust Corp. 'Solution'?
Oh.. what? Is it time to admit the FED is unconstitutional, that fractional reserve banking is a *massive* FAIL, and we need to LOSE fiat currencies that are debt based and go back to a solid value based currency like the founders learned after the continental dollar crash?
Seriously this whole bury your head in the sand and defend the current system is beyond tiresome. It doesn't work. It was never designed to work. It's a failure. No amount of throwing gobs of tax payer dollars at the problem to suppress the massive bubble that will be the destruction of the dollar is going to change that. Really gentlemen, can we please just admit it's a failure, move on, and design a value based currency system again. Pretty please? With sugar on top? And a cherry?
Apple vs. Bank of America: When "Whisper Numbers" Come Home to Roost
I know the Apple haters here will label me a fanboy of Apple. However not only was that beating down they took of 10%! totally uncalled for it makes me realize how incredibly stupid wall street is. How long has this game been going on? Seriously what years now? My dog Isis has caught on to the game for petes sake! Wall street is incapable of any kind of original thought or learning. We all KNOW Apple undercuts themselves in their guidance so they can blow the guidance away. This is not new its been going on for *years* now. Why don't all the "analysts" and "fund managers" just resign. Seriously. This is like watching a child repeatedly touching a hot burner and yet still not learn to stop touching it. "Ow!.. Ow!... Ow!..." Why does anyone listen to these clowns?
If Apple says 1.12 bank on 1.20. It's was laughable 5 years ago and now it's just boring and annoying. Go away Wall St. you are too dumb to play.
***WARNING APPL SHAREHOLDER***
For Advanced Micro, Things Go from Bad to Worse
AMD needs wayyyy better management and it needs to focus its too spread out and needs to start small again focusing on it's core model. Even then like Apple it will take a decade for it to be on decent footing again.
For Advanced Micro, Things Go from Bad to Worse
AMD needs wayyyy better management and it needs to focus its too spread out and needs to start small again focusing on it's core model. Even then like Apple it will take a decade for it to be on decent footing again.
Apple's a Buy on This Big Fall - Barron's
Apple's a Buy on This Big Fall - Barron's
That is exactly what will happen if Apple does not solve the energy issue first. Once they do 3G iPhones will roll out the door.
SDK is out at the end of Feb. And while we have yet to see details on it I believe it will get the job done quite well for 3rd party developers. It wont be ideal but far better than web only apps. Im looking forward to a bright 2008 for Apple with increased movie sales and rentals, and iPhone upswing. Not to mention you have product refreshes coming out on current products a couple of times this year. I am taking this opportunity to buy more Apple myself. Analyst doom and gloom'ers be damned! Buy buy buy!