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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
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Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
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Latest Comments26 Comments
Crunching Numbers: Why I'd Buy AIG
AIG last price : 5.50 - Down 55% within 2 days after the posting of this article.
Is Crocs Doomed For Failure?
Even Insiders Are Selling Crocs
Confessions of a Shallow Solar Trader
Further Thoughts on Trina Solar and the Solar Space
Any thoughts on the TSL downgrade to sell today from Goldman? Goldman suggested the company has a fairly week balance sheet which could cause a great deal of downside risk from possible capital raises or dilution. Thoughts?
Royale Energy: Rising Oil Prices Good for Natural Gas Stocks
Royale Energy: Rising Oil Prices Good for Natural Gas Stocks
And you say the stock is up 69% this year??? What chart are you looking at? The stock has risen more than 400% since the beginning of the year!
You article may have had a little merit if had been written at a time when the stock was down around 4. Up hear in the clouds north of 8, all I can say is that I hope you get lucky, because it certainly isnt your fundamental analysis that will lead you to gains.
Profiting from Panic-Selling in Trina
Let me start off by saying that the vast majority of your articles are great with solid reasoning and analysis. And I agree with you that TSL has great long term prospects and is one of the cheapest stocks in the solar space. And again, you are right in saying that 90% of investors only pay attention to the headline number when it comes to earnings. However, based on that notion, investors should position themselves in a manner that takes that into account. If a trader knows that everyone will be looking only at the headline number, then holding a stock through the annoucenement means that the trader believes the overall market will react favorably to the annoucement. That said, although TSL beat estimates, the expecations were extremely high for the report. This is exemplified by the solid rally the stock saw leading up to the annoucement. Further, the whisper number was actually much higher than the consensus estmates, making for lofty expectations. So sure, the figures based on the company's operations were strong, but the currency loss must be factored in given that expectations were so high. So although the headline number did not give a fully accurate depiction of the company's performance, when expecations are so high, there only needs to be one little negative factor that can create the market to sell the stock. So the better trade would have been to sell the stock into the rally, get some more clarity on the company from the report, and then re-enter with a position. That is not applicable to all stocks, but just the ones that have such lofty expectations.
That said, TSL down below 37 is now VERY attractive, so I will be taking a position in myself. Best of luck with the fund.
Evergreen Solar Needs to Resolve Financial Issues
Investing in a Resource-Constrained World (Part IV)
Your long history of articles on FSLR is nothing short of lunacy. You have been obsessed with this tellerium shortage for so long, and have lost a lot of money betting on it. Although you have some merit in many of your points, and your research findings are pretty interesting, you regularly contradict yourself.
Here is the best part...
I remember in the many articles you have written previously that you were shorting FSLR, will continue to short FSLR until it goes to zero. You were convinced that FSLR was going to crash. And now you say in this post "At this time I do not even own FSLR short positions and have nothing to gain if FSLR suddenly collapses tomorrow." Why dont you own it now? Its because you first started shorting the stock around 140, which means you have probably gotten 100 margin calls, and your investment is now worth zero now that the stock has more than doubled.
So you have officially lost your right to write about FSLR in the future.
HANS and CROX Are Here to Pump You Up
The Long Cases On Apollo Group and Mosaic Going Into Earnings
The Long Cases On Apollo Group and Mosaic Going Into Earnings
Sirius, XM Satellite Radio: Good Things Come to Those Who Wait
Lululemon Athletica: Insulated From Consumer Spending Woes